Home |  Bios |  Links |  Contact 
 
 Click here to view archives
  Posted on: Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Printer Friendly Format  Printer Friendly Format     Send to a Friend  Send to a Friend    RSS Feed  RSS Feed
Headwinds vs. Tailwinds II --The Headwinds Continue to Dominate
NIKKEI Rallies Within Secular Bear Market 

   
 
Recent Market Commentary:
7/19/12   Evidence Of Coming Recession Is Overwhelming
7/12/12   The Bear Market Is Only Beginning
7/10/12   Next Comment will be Thursday 7/12/12
6/28/12   The Global Slowdown Will Accelerate
6/21/12   The Fed Is Shooting Blanks
6/15/12   No Weekly comment--Please read the Special Deflation Report
6/12/12   The Bear Market Is Only Beginning
6/7/12   Stock Market On Life Support
5/31/12   More Evidence Of The Economic Slowdown
5/17/12   The Market Is Starting To Recognize Reality
5/10/12   Don't Ignore The 'Fiscal Cliff'
5/3/12   This Is A Typical Post-Credit Crisis Market
4/26/12   The Market Is In For A Rude Awakening
4/19/12   The Housing Outlook Is Still Dismal
4/12/12   More Evidence: The Market Sweet Spot Is Ending
4/5/12   Why Valuation Doesn't Insure Against A Significant Market Decline
3/29/12   The Market Sweet Spot Is Ending
3/22/12   Today's Comment is a "Special Report"-Secular Bear Market?
3/15/12   The Underestimated Drag Of Household Deleveraging
3/8/12   U.S. and World Not Immune To Europe's Problems

Search Archives:

 

 

We wrote this comment one year ago (May 15, 2008).  At that time the Dow was close to 13,000 and the S&P 500 was trading at 1425 and was breaking out through resistance.  Many economists were backing away from their recession forecasts due to stronger than expected economic releases during early May (called "Green Shoots" today).  After that comment was written the market rose to 1426 the next day before dropping sharply for the next 10 months.  You will see how many of the headwinds mentioned in that comment are still of hurricane force even today.  We expect the bear market rally that we are experiencing now will reverse and the secular bear market to resume soon.  We have attached a NDR chart showing the many counter trend rallies that Japan experienced during their secular bear market, and the similarity to our market.  We expect many counter trend rallies during the U.S. secular bear market as well.

 

The following link will take you to the report written one year ago, but still not out of date:

http://www.comstockfunds.com/default.aspx?act=newsletter.aspx&newsletterid=1372&menugroup=Home

 

Printer Friendly Format  Printer Friendly Format    Send to a Friend  Send to a Friend    RSS Feed  RSS Feed


Send to a friend
      Send us feedback    Add to Favorites  

© 2013 Comstock Partners, Inc.. All rights reserved.