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  MarketCommentary
Why We Remain Bearish
5/16/13 6:30 PM

It has long been our underlying thesis that the huge amount of household debt accumulated during the housing boom would inhibit consumer spending and economic growth for some time to come, and this is what has been happening over the last few years.[More]
 

The Market Is Facing Deteriorating Fundamentals
5/09/13 8:30 PM

As we watch the market climb to new highs in the face of lackluster and deteriorating fundamentals, we have the feeling that we’ve seen this movie before in 2000 and 2007, when we were one of very few voices of caution in the wilderness.  A rise that was fueled by the perception of never-ending Fed liquidity injections has now morphed into a trend that is feeding on itself as investors are afraid of missing out on further gains.  As a result, any news, no matter how negative, is being given a positive spin in the media and on “the street”.

For instance, take last Friday’s payroll employment report for April, which touched off a euphoric rise in stocks.   While that was a positive surprise over the expected rise of 140,000 jobs, the reported increase of 165,000 for the month was nothing to write home about.[More]
 

  COMSTOCK IN THE NEWS
The Great Divide
By Alan Abelson, Barrons
1/19/12

We live in an age of anxiety, and rightly so: Worries about the global economy are most emphatically not just in our imagination. The question is, who's going to bear the blame, come November?
  

The Age of Anxiety? With all due apologies to the late W.H.[More]
 

Send in the Magicians - By ALAN ABELSON
The economy desperately needs a shot in the arm, all the more so with the end of quantitative easing.
6/21/11

It's time Stephen Sondheim wrote another carnival song, and, more specifically, a sequel to the hauntingly memorable "Send in the Clowns" from his 1973 musical, A Little Night Music, which has proved so eerily prophetic in describing this year's political scene. As a glance at the crowded roster of Republican wannabe candidates for the presidency in next year's election makes clear, the powers that be in the GOP obviously have taken quite literally Sondheim's injunction that served as the title of the song, while the Democrats already have their very own barker and no shortage of mountebanks ensconced in their big tent.[More]
 

Charlie Minter appears on CNBC
 
Low speed stream  High speed stream 

  Last Major Comstock Report
FEET DON'T FAIL ME NOW
Dated, but not out of date
12/10/99
The list of negative factors impacting the stock market has now become so numerous that it is highly likely that a severe bear market has already started

Introduction

The list of negative factors affecting the stock market has now become so numerous that it is highly likely that a severe bear market has already started. We begin with the fact that, as measured by earnings and dividends, this is by far the most overvalued market of the past century.[More]
 

 
  SpecialReport
New Secular Bull Market or another Fake-Out?
We Feel the Same Way Now as We did in 2000 and 2007
2/04/13

The headlines in all the various newspapers tell the same story.  Barron's had a cover story this weekend, "STOCK ALERT"![More]
 

Comstock Bull / Bear Meter




  What Others Say
Financial Sanity
3/11/13
Dear Sirs, Just had to say to you thank you, thank you for your wonderful financial sanity.
 
Comment on Cycle of Deflation
2/15/13
Hello from Ireland again (i've mailed a few years over the past). I still enjoy checking your excellent site every friday morning. One comment on the cycle of deflation - you have plant closing & debt defaults happening after competitive devaluation however this, to a large degree and in Ireland anyways, seems to have come first. Maybe you could explain this? Also, I have to say that even though I think you are right and will be proven so soon enough, you tend to underestimate [having read your column for ten years now I think you underestimate by a 2-4 years] the reflationary power of Central Banks and for how long they can keep them up for.[More]
 
Cycle of Deflation theory
1/18/13
I'm sure that other regular readers of your commentary have noticed the term "beggar-thy-neighbor" showing up more and more in the press and online. It seems to validate the "cycle of deflation" theory you have posed for so long. We've been warned. Thanks.
 
Wonderful analysis that I have been reading for many years
9/03/11
I would like your permission to send a copy of your 8/25/11 market commentary to them since I agree that we are in a major credit/debt contraction of hugh scale and a good deal of the asset write-downs are ahead not behind us. irrespective of your answer I want to thank you for wonderful analysis that I have been reading for many years.
 
Your Message is Loud & Clear
8/25/11
Your weekly commentary plus the weekly postings on John Hussman's site should serve as required reading for anybody trying to follow this market. Your message (much more concise than Dr Hussman's, I have to say)is loud & clear.
 

Minter & Weiner Chat
click here to see the commentary

 


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